As the NCAA season progresses, I’m going to publish weekly rankings in conjunction with the USCHO poll. These rankings will be entirely statistics based with the explanation as to how those stats are developed here. As I prefer to do when compiling rankings, a team’s final ranking will be determined by a summation of their rankings in various statistical categories:
- Overall winning percentage (pct)
- Percentage of shots taken (S%) – (Editor’s Note – This is essentially the best imitator of Corsi %. I’m told that shot attempts (Shots on goal plus missed shots plus shots taken that get blocked) are recorded but that data is not available anywhere.)
- Percentage of shots taken relative to Opponents’ S% (Rel S%)
- S% versus teams with an S% of 50% or more
- Rel S% versus teams with an S% of 50 or more
- Shooting Percentage (Sht%)
- Save Percentage (Sv%)
It’s pretty clear the voters are souring on Clarkson and I can’t say I blame them. With a loss to underwhelming Yale to start the weekend they didn’t make a strong case for themselves. Struggles aside, I still think they’re better than St. Lawrence and Cornell. Although with Quinnipiac at 26 points, Harvard at 25, and the bottom three at 22 it’s a wide open ECAC.
Things are starting to settle in, though I’m curious as to how far Minnesota-Duluth falls if they don’t end their season well. They’re a good team, but they have Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Ohio State to end the year after going 0-1-1 to North Dakota this past weekend.
RIT is back above a 50% shots percentage and will likely continue annoying me by jumping back and forth. My metric likes Clarkson a little better than others, and from watching them they play a solid game with miscues in key moments, sort of like a Boston University with a lower ceiling.
Those two teams, more than any other, are capable of going on a tear…or bowing out in the first round of their conference tournaments.
- Feb. 14 – Quinnipiac @ Clarkson
- Feb. 21 – Clarkson @ Harvard
Clarkson has free live feeds for home games so circle that date.