As the NCAA season progresses, I’m going to publish weekly rankings in conjunction with the USCHO poll. These rankings will be entirely statistics based with the explanation as to how those stats are developed here. As I prefer to do when compiling rankings, a team’s final ranking will be determined by a summation of their rankings in various statistical categories:
- Overall winning percentage (pct)
- Percentage of shots taken (S%) – (Editor’s Note – This is essentially the best imitator of Corsi %. I’m told that shot attempts (Shots on goal plus missed shots plus shots taken that get blocked) are recorded but that data is not available anywhere.)
- Percentage of shots taken relative to Opponents’ S% (Rel S%)
- S% versus teams with an S% of 50% or more
- Rel S% versus teams with an S% of 50 or more
- Shooting Percentage (Sht%)
- Save Percentage (Sv%)
And here we are. I still don’t know which team is the best in the ECAC. Clarkson was all over Harvard Saturday before apparently deciding that a 1-0 lead was good enough with about five minutes left in the second but they don’t seem to have what it takes to beat Quinnipiac. Quinnipiac can’t beat Harvard (and looks really bad right now). Well…Clarkson won the regular season title which means the road to the ECAC Tournament championship runs down the long, slow, hellish drive that is Route 11 in New York.
There’s not a whole lot to say until we get to tournament play, but good for Clarkson, Cornell, Vermont, Robert Morris, and Connecticut all improving their seeds with a solid weekend.
I need to add a Mercyhurst rule that takes into greater account quality of competition. I noted the following last night:
- Fewest quality opponents – Mercyhurst (9)
- Lowest quality of all opponents – Mercyhurst (53.89% opp SA%). (Quality opponent being a team that takes more than 50% of shots.)
- Most quality opponents – Minnesota State – 23
- Highest quality of opponents – Minnesota State (45.90% Opp SA)
- MSU’s non-conf opponents were (ironically) Mercyhurst x2, SLU, and Lindenwood x3.
- Mercyhurst’s were Prov x2, Maine x2, NE x2, MSU x2, OSU, Colgate x2 Cornell, SLU x2
- Interesting that Mercyhurst, which plays in Erie, PA (NW PA) largely avoided moderately close WCHA teams.
- Sure Hurst can travel across PA, NY, and New England to play 6 games against Providence, Maine, and Northeastern, but only once against OSU
- Long story short, Robert Morris played 15 opponents that were 50%+ shots and Syracuse 12. Root for them in the CHA.
- The only team that did a worse job of scheduling out of conference opponents was Brown – RIT, CT, ME, Prov.
Mercyhurst actually beat Ohio State 3-0 in their one visit. (Shots were 16-16 and Mercyhurst racked up 29 PIM. Weird.) And to be fair part of the problem might be teams turning up their nose at Mercyhurst rather than Mercyhurst deliberately giving themselves a weak schedule. One would have thought, with the CHA getting an autobid this year, that they might have taken the opportunity to build some out of conference cred.